Incumbent Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson, a Republican, and his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes. The Supreme Court Dobb's decision likely drove higher voter turnout for Democrats, especially among young women. Control of House, Senate hang in the balance as key races not yet projected Since Democrats have secured Senate control, Republican seats above 50 are almost certainly lost. There are some markers for non-response bias, in particular Democrats are more enthusiastic about taking surveys in some key states. Take, for instance, Franklin County, which Trump carried by 40 points in 2020. With a week to go before the midterm elections, some Democratic operatives working on House races are already beginning to assign blame in the event their party loses winnable seats: The culprit, they say, is blue-state governors dragging down the rest of the ballot. Sportsbooks dont want to lose large sums of money on those days. (window.DocumentTouch && The Democratic-controlled Legislature tried to draw a new congressional map that would help the party pick up seats, but the courts threw it out. While Warnock is viewed more favorably, the Democratic party is viewed more negatively, resulting in a surprisingly tight Senate race in Georgia. Hopeful Signs for PredictIt Plaintiffs Following Oral Arguments in Fifth Circuit, Fifth Circuit Grants Injunction for PredictIt to Continue Operating Past Feb 15, PredictIt Scores A Minor Win At Court Of Appeals, Avoiding Dismissal, Capping the number of traders allowed in each market, Maintaining PredictIts educational purpose. Sayegh is a former Trump administration official and a Republican strategist. But theres more nuance in a gubernatorial race than a congressional race. Republicans are aiming to wrest away both chambers. Despite it all, Lake lost by 17,117 votes out of more than 2.5 million. Its common for the opposing party to retake Congressional seats and state governorships during the midterms. Online sportsbooks like DraftKings and BetMGM are not allowed to offer election betting, but the 2022 Midterm Elections had some platforms that did, like PredictIt. The balance of power in Congress is likely to shift to Republicans after the midterms. Republicans set to rebound big in 2022 midterms, unless Implied probabilities are calculated using data offered by PredictIt. November 2, 2022. The House of Representatives remains undecided, but Democrats have retained control of the Senate. Why the 2022 midterm election forecasts are shifting - Los Angeles Times While political issues such as crime and abortion have taken center stage, this race is also about the candidates themselves. ", "Of course, Kemp will easily beat Stacey Abrams by at least 8 points, and it is hard to imagine enough ticket splitters in GA to shift the race to Warnock.". Implied probabilities are calculated using data offered by PredictIt. 2022 midterm elections results - The Reflector